📉 Reduced mortality for all ages, not just children

📉 Reduced mortality for all ages, not just children

Infants, children, adults, and the elderly all have a lower risk of dying today compared to the past. The risk of dying during the first day of life has decreased sevenfold in 100 years in England and Wales. At one year of age, the risk of dying is 100 times lower 2021 compared to 1921.

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  • Infants, children, adults, and the elderly all have a lower risk of dying today compared to the past.
  • The risk of dying during the first day of life has decreased sevenfold in 100 years in England and Wales.
  • At one year of age, the risk of dying is 100 times lower 2021 compared to 1921.

Lower infant mortality from day one

The risk of dying starts to decrease from the very first day of life. Mortality during the first day of life has decreased by about seven times over the past 100 years. At one year of age, the risk of dying is 100 times lower 2021 compared to 1921, according to Our World in Data.

The trend is clear - each day during infancy is much safer now than before. The entire curve of mortality during the first year of life has shifted downwards.

Lower mortality throughout life

People born more recently have a lower risk of dying throughout their lives, not just as infants. In Sweden, 10-year-olds born in 1980 had a 50 times lower annual death risk compared to those born in 1800.

The decrease is also seen among older people - 50-year-olds born in 1970 in Sweden had an 11 times lower annual death risk than 50-year-olds born in 1800.

Historical data also clearly shows the effects of major events such as the world wars. Those born between 1890-1920 had a significantly increased risk of death in youth and early adulthood. Among later generations, there is instead a more pronounced "bump" in mortality during the teenage years and early twenties.

Looking over time, one can see that this entire J-shaped curve has shifted downwards. The annual death risks have decreased for all ages, from infants to the elderly. This is thanks to advances in medicine, living standards, democracy, and public health over the past centuries.

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